As the NFL season progresses into November, early predictions and betting lines for Week 9 are emerging, with particular attention on the matchups between the Denver Broncos and the Carolina Panthers, and the Dallas Cowboys versus the Indianapolis Colts. The New York Post has provided an early look at these games, aiming to leverage opening betting lines.
Broncos vs. Panthers
The prediction favors the Denver Broncos with a -2.5 point spread. The article notes that the Broncos' offense showed signs of improvement in a recent game, while the Panthers appear to be struggling. Denver's defense is highlighted, ranking eighth in the NFL in yards allowed per play over their last three games, and holding opponents to 4.9 yards per play. The Panthers' overall DVOA ranking is cited as 18th, with the assessment that their on-field performance is weaker than their ranking suggests. The analysis suggests betting on the Broncos to win by more than a field goal.
Cowboys vs. Colts
For the Cowboys and Colts game, the Cowboys are favored at -5.5. The piece suggests that the Indianapolis Colts might be looking to trade running back Jonathan Taylor, indicating a potential "fire sale" by the team. The Cowboys are described as being in need of a win. The analysis points out that the Colts' defense allows 7.4 yards per pass attempt, which is the fifth-worst in the league. The recommendation is to bet on the Cowboys before the point spread potentially increases to six points, with the possibility of a significant line movement if Taylor is traded.
The New York Post's betting coverage is attributed to Erich Richter, who has reportedly shown significant profits in the player prop market over the past two seasons and a substantial return on investment since 2022.