The American Athletic Conference (AAC) is set for a significant shift in the 2026 season, with the departure of several prominent coaches and star players creating a more open field. This upheaval presents an opportunity for the UTSA Roadrunners, who are positioned to capitalize on their returning offensive strength and the stability of their coaching staff.
The AAC has been a standout conference within the Group of 5 over the past two seasons, but the upcoming year will see a new era. Coaches like Ryan Silverfield (Memphis to Arkansas), Alex Golesh (USF to Auburn), Eric Morris (North Texas to Oklahoma State), and Jon Sumrall (Tulane to Florida) have all moved to major conferences. Additionally, key players such as Drew Mestemaker (North Texas to Oklahoma State), Byrum Brown (USF to Auburn), and Blake Horvath (Navy) have moved on through transfers or graduation.
Amidst this conference-wide change, UTSA's offense is expected to be a driving force. Quarterback Owen McCown is returning, along with two of his top three pass-catchers from the 2025 season. The offensive line also boasts considerable experience, suggesting the Roadrunners will continue their explosive performance from last year. The team's defense will feature new personnel, but the offensive firepower is seen as a crucial asset to offset any potential growing pains.
Head coach Jeff Traylor and his defensive coordinator Jess Loep provide a stable foundation for UTSA. Since their jump from Conference USA to the AAC, Traylor's teams have achieved a 23-16 record, demonstrating their ability to compete at this level. With a solid offensive unit and established coaching leadership, UTSA is considered a strong contender, priced at +475 to win the AAC at DraftKings, trailing only Navy.
One betting preview suggests UTSA has a realistic chance to make the College Football Playoff, with odds of 10/1. This outlook is based on the assumption that UTSA could emerge as the best team in the Group of 6 this season due to the vulnerabilities at the top of the AAC.
In contrast, Charlotte is considered a long-shot contender at 300/1. The 49ers struggled significantly in previous seasons, but the potential return of quarterback Conner Harrell, who showed promise before an injury, offers a glimmer of hope. Harrell will have new targets to throw to, with the team's portal acquisitions potentially boosting the offense and easing the burden on the defense. The presence of a high-upside quarterback and a solid coach is seen as providing some value for Charlotte at their long odds.