A recently announced 15-point peace plan for Gaza, presented as a significant agreement, is facing scrutiny over its practical implementation and clarity on key details. While Hamas has reportedly agreed to the plan, which includes laying down arms, sources express skepticism about its efficacy and the verifiable cessation of hostilities.
One primary concern revolves around the definition and enforcement of "all military operations" ceasing. Questions persist about who will monitor compliance and how disputes over adherence will be resolved. The proposed International Verification Committee faces uncertainty regarding its composition, staffing, and operational timeline. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the International Stabilization Force is in doubt, with plans for 5,000 troops but only about 200 pledged thus far by a few countries.
The plan's reference to "Palestinian law" has also raised questions, as there has been no established Palestinian state with its own legal statutes. Clarification is needed on whether this refers to laws created by the Palestinian Authority, Hamas's Gaza administration, or another entity, and who would interpret such laws.
Details regarding the transition of Hamas-controlled government functions to a new National Committee for the Administration of Gaza remain unclear, particularly concerning the vetting process for civil servants appointed by various factions. The trustworthiness of existing police structures is also a point of contention.
Significant doubts exist about the practicalities of disarmament. It is unclear who will take custody of surrendered weapons and what personal arms various militants will be permitted to keep, especially under the ambiguous "Palestinian law." The absence of an independent inventory of arms, bomb-making facilities, and a comprehensive map of Hamas's tunnel network further complicates verification.
This new 15-point plan follows an earlier 20-point proposal from approximately 10 months prior, which reportedly saw little change on the ground. Hamas has not demonstrably surrendered, renounced armed resistance, or ceased its rule in Gaza. Critics suggest the current plan lacks concrete mechanisms for change, leaving the Israeli Defense Forces as the primary force capable of compelling action.
Despite the reservations, there is an acknowledgment that former President Donald Trump continues to advocate for peace solutions and has not abandoned efforts. The expectation is that diplomats will work to achieve tangible results in the coming months.