Prediction market platform Kalshi is offering new users a sign-up bonus for predicting the outcome of the United States men's national soccer team's match against Belgium. New users who use the promo code NYPMAX can receive $15 after making at least $10 in trades.

The promotion is available to users in specific U.S. states and territories, including Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, New Jersey, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Washington D.C., West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Users must be 18 or older with a legal U.S. residential address. The promotion is not available in Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, and Ohio.

Kalshi allows users to trade contracts on various sports markets, including WNBA games, MLB matchups, and international soccer matches.

According to traders on Kalshi, the United States has a slight edge over Belgium in the upcoming match, with approximately a 53 percent chance of winning. This probability has increased from around 49 percent in the past day, suggesting that recent developments have influenced trading volume.

Folarin Balogun, a U.S. forward, is expected to be available for the match against Belgium. He was initially suspended for one game following a red card during a previous match against Bosnia & Herzegovina. The availability of Balogun was a notable development for the team.