UFC is set to host another event this weekend in Oklahoma City, headlined by a middleweight bout between Dricus Du Plessis and Kamaru Usman.
The card, which begins at 5 p.m. ET and streams on Paramount+, features 12 scheduled fights, with betting props available for 10 of them. Six of these bouts are projected to conclude inside the distance.
Main Event: Dricus Du Plessis vs. Kamaru Usman
In the main event, Dricus Du Plessis will face Kamaru Usman in Du Plessis’ first fight since losing his middleweight championship. Du Plessis is known for his strategic approach, combining volume striking with grappling to dissect opponents. Usman, a former welterweight champion from 2019-2022, is moving up to middleweight for this contest.
The betting analysis favors Du Plessis, citing Usman's history of knee issues and his relative lack of size for the middleweight division. Du Plessis is expected to target Usman's legs, potentially leading to a late knockout. If the fight goes the distance, Du Plessis is still considered the stronger bet, as Usman's wrestling may be less effective against a larger opponent.
Prediction: Du Plessis to win and the fight to go Over 4.5 minutes at -160 odds.
Undercard Bout: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan
In another middleweight bout, the veteran Jared Cannonier, 42, will face the younger Christian Leroy Duncan, 30. Cannonier returns for the first time since August, entering the fight as a significant underdog. Duncan is on a four-fight win streak, including victories over Roman Dolidze and Marco Tulio.
Cannonier's recent performance against Michael “Venom” Page, where he was outstruck, has raised concerns. The analysis suggests that Duncan, who is in his prime, is likely to defeat Cannonier, who is perceived to be past his competitive peak.
Prediction: Duncan to win, and the fight to start Round 2 at -160 odds.
Additional Fight Card Picks
Other predictions for the UFC Fight Night Oklahoma City card include:
- Chase Hooper to win by moneyline for parlays.
- Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline: Fight to go the distance at -295 odds.
- Tommy McMillen vs. Alberto Montes: Either fighter to win by KO/TKO at +200 odds.
- Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado: Fight to go the distance at +120 odds.
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko: Lebosnoyani to win by KO/TKO or submission at +400 odds.
- Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs. Felipe Franco: Franco to win by moneyline at +134 odds.
- RJ Harris vs. Alvin Hines: Harris to win by moneyline at +120 odds.
- Anna Melisano vs. Dione Barbosa: Fight to go the distance at +168 odds.
- Ezra Elliot vs. Damien Anderson: Over 1.5 rounds at -130 odds.
The analysis for the fight card comes from Erich Richter, who has a reported 30.15 percent return on investment in MMA betting since 2022.