The Pittsburgh Steelers' win total for the upcoming 2026 season has been set at 8.5 by oddsmakers, with Mike McCarthy taking over as head coach following Mike Tomlin's departure. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers is also returning for what is anticipated to be his final season.
Last year, the Steelers reached the postseason, a result aided by luck and the play of Rodgers. Despite a season marked by inconsistency, including losses to teams like the Bengals and Browns with backup quarterbacks, the team managed to secure a playoff berth. They were fortunate to defeat the Ravens in the final regular-season game but faltered against the Texans in the Wild Card round.
Coaching and Offseason Changes
Mike Tomlin, who led the Steelers for 19 seasons without a losing record, resigned after the playoff loss. The team has now appointed Mike McCarthy as his successor. McCarthy, who previously found success with Rodgers, holds a career regular-season record of 174-112. The Steelers are hoping Rodgers can perform at a high level in his potential final year. To bolster the receiving corps, the team has added Michael Pittman Jr. and Germie Bernard. On defense, cornerback Jamel Dean has been acquired to strengthen the secondary.
Roster and Expectations
The Steelers' success is largely expected to hinge on the performance of their quarterback. Rodgers, who will approach 43 years old during the season, remains a talented player. If he can deliver above-average play, the team's receiving options, including DK Metcalf, should provide sufficient offensive firepower. The defense features established players like T.J. Watt and Cameron Heyward, with a competent linebacking corps and secondary.
Betting Outlook
Sportsbooks have positioned the Steelers' win total at 8.5, with a lean towards the under. This outlook may be influenced by the Baltimore Ravens having a new coaching staff and the return of Joe Burrow for the Cincinnati Bengals. However, the Steelers' schedule is not considered exceptionally difficult. While division games are typically split, the team is projected to win at least five other contests. The team's ability to find ways to win, a hallmark under Tomlin, will be a key question with McCarthy at the helm. Betting on the Steelers to win over 2.5 division games is available at -180, while a bet on them to finish with more wins than the Indianapolis Colts is at -110.