Scottie Scheffler is positioned to potentially break his own PGA Tour scoring record as he competes in the Tour Championship at East Lake in Atlanta. Scheffler, who entered the weekend tied for fifth at 8 under par and two shots behind leaders Ryan Gerard and Viktor Hovland, posted rounds of 65 and 67 in the opening two rounds. His current raw scoring average for the 2026 season stands at 67.96, which would set a new Tour record if maintained, surpassing his own mark of 67.99 from the previous season.
This pursuit of a scoring record is occurring even as Scheffler's victory total for 2026 appears modest compared to his exceptional performance in recent years. After winning seven events in 2024 and six in 2025, his two victories this season have led some to perceive a decline. However, his scoring statistics suggest otherwise.
Scheffler holds four of the six lowest raw scoring averages in Tour history, with his 2026, 2025, and 2024 seasons occupying the top three spots. His 2023 average of 68.26 ranks sixth. Only Webb Simpson's 2020 season and Tiger Woods' 2000 campaign interrupt this run of Scheffler's dominance. Raw scoring average measures strokes taken without adjustment for course difficulty. Tiger Woods still holds the adjusted scoring record of 67.79 from 2000 and matched in 2007.
Despite the perceived lower win total, Scheffler has demonstrated remarkable consistency, finishing in the top five in 12 of his 19 starts this season. He recovered from two early bogeys on Friday to shoot a 67, keeping him firmly in contention for the Tour Championship title. Historically, Scheffler has a strong record in similar situations, having won seven of the last 10 PGA Tour events where he started the weekend inside the top five.
Scheffler appears to be peaking at the right time. He secured a dominant eight-stroke victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and followed it with a tie for 12th at the BMW Championship, despite competing with hand, foot and mouth disease. A victory at the Tour Championship would not only earn him $10 million and another FedEx Cup title but would also strengthen his case for a fifth consecutive Player of the Year award, matching Tiger Woods' streak from 1999 to 2003.
While Scheffler's final scoring average for 2026 is still subject to change over the remaining rounds, his performance indicates that by the fundamental measure of strokes, he is playing at a level he has never achieved before.