As the World Cup concludes, the race for football's most prestigious individual honor, the Ballon d'Or, is heating up. Bookmakers have identified Harry Kane as the current favorite, with strong challenges expected from emerging talents like Lamine Yamal and World Cup-winning captain Rodri.
The Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled for October 26. This year, the award will see if there is a repeat winner or if a new name will be added to the list of recipients for the third consecutive year.
Leading Contenders
England captain and Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane is currently at the forefront of the favorites. Kane enjoyed his best statistical season, scoring 61 goals in 51 matches for Bayern Munich, contributing to a domestic double and a Champions League semi-final appearance. Despite England's World Cup semi-final exit, his remarkable goal output positions him as a leading candidate.
Lamine Yamal, the young star from Barcelona and Spain, is also a significant contender. He has had a stellar season, winning La Liga and the Spanish Super Cup, in addition to his crucial role in Spain's World Cup triumph. Despite an injury-affected end to his club season, Yamal's impact on the pitch, drawing defensive attention and creating opportunities, has been significant. He is noted as a strong possibility to become the first teenager to win the Ballon d'Or.
Rodri, the captain of Spain's World Cup-winning team, has emerged as a top contender. His leadership and eight flawless performances in the tournament have put him in contention. Although his club season was disrupted by injuries, his standout performances in crucial matches, including the World Cup semi-final and final, have made a strong case for his candidacy.
Other Notables in the Running
Kylian Mbappé, despite a season without major team trophies, has continued his individual brilliance. He was the top scorer in the Champions League with Real Madrid and secured the Golden Boot at the World Cup with ten goals, becoming the all-time leading scorer in the tournament's history. However, a lack of team silverware may hinder his chances.
Lionel Messi, widely regarded as one of the greatest players of all time, remains a contender based on his decisive performances in the World Cup, where he contributed significantly to Argentina's journey to the final. His leadership in Inter Miami's first-ever MLS Cup victory in late 2025 also adds to his credentials.
Defending Ballon d'Or winner Ousmane Dembélé is also in contention for a second consecutive award. His crucial equalizer in PSG's Champions League final victory against Arsenal and his six goals in the World Cup place him among the potential winners, although his impact in the World Cup semi-final may be a factor.
Jude Bellingham, despite a trophy-less season, has been recognized for his strong performances for England at the World Cup. While his individual talent is undeniable, the award historically favors players with significant team success.
Outside Chances
Spain's World Cup success has also put emerging talents Pau Cubarsí and Fabián Ruiz in the conversation. Cubarsí was named Best Young Player at the World Cup, contributing to Spain's formidable defense. Ruiz, who won both the World Cup and the Champions League, has been lauded for his consistent possession-based play and ball progression, making him an outside shout for the award. Odds are courtesy of SkyBet.