The Toledo Rockets are set to play their first Midweek MACtion game of the season on Wednesday night, facing Sacramento State as significant favorites. Bookmakers have installed Toledo as a 25.5-point home favorite.
Sacramento State (2-7, 1-5 MAC) is entering its inaugural Midweek MACtion contest. The Hornets are coming off their first conference win, a victory over Kent State last week.
Toledo (6-2, 3-1 MAC) is ranked 62nd in the latest SP+ power rankings, placing them in a similar tier to teams like Virginia, Arizona State, and Auburn. This season was expected to be a rebuilding year for Toledo following the departure of head coach Jason Candle to UConn at the end of the 2025 season. However, Mike Jacobs, hired as his replacement, has a strong track record, having achieved a 42-8 record at Notre Dame College, 32-9 at Lenoir-Rhyne, and 20-6 in two seasons at Mercer. He has not had a losing season in his 10-year college head coaching career.
The Rockets' offense is performing well, ranking 14th nationally in yards per play with 6.5. Their defense is also solid, allowing just 4.8 yards per play, which ranks 24th. Quarterback John Alan Richter has been efficient, completing 66.8 percent of his passes for 2,244 yards, 17 touchdowns, and only two interceptions. He will face a Sacramento State defense that is struggling, allowing 120th most yards per play.
Adding to Toledo's advantage, the Rockets had a bye week while Sacramento State played on Friday, giving Toledo more time to prepare for Wednesday's matchup. Despite the large point spread, the prediction leans towards Toledo covering the 25.5 points.