Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 season, according to oddsmakers. After a season where he appeared uncharacteristically human and finished with a losing record as a starter for the first time in his career, Mahomes suffered season-ending injuries to his ACL and LCL in Week 15.
Despite the significant injuries, reports from Chiefs training camp indicate a strong recovery. Ian Rapoport, an NFL insider, expects Mahomes to be ready for Week 1. With a full offseason of rehabilitation, Mahomes is viewed as having the highest ceiling among potential comeback candidates.
The Chiefs are projected by oddsmakers to be among the league's elite teams, with a win total of 10.5 or better. The team's offensive potential is bolstered by the return of offensive coordinator Andy Reid and Eric Bieniemy, aiming to recapture the high-scoring offense of previous years. Key receiving options include Rashee Rice and Travis Kelce, with the addition of rookie speedster Xavier Worthy providing a deep threat.
Mahomes has a proven track record of elevating the performance of his receivers. The team also added Super Bowl MVP running back Kenneth Walker III in the offseason to strengthen the rushing attack, offering balance and versatility. Walker III's addition could provide crucial support for Mahomes as he reintegrates into the offense.
Mahomes is currently listed at +200 odds to win the Comeback Player of the Year award. Other notable contenders include Aaron Donald and Jayden Daniels, both listed at +750. The award has frequently gone to quarterbacks in recent years, and Mahomes' ability to perform at a high level, assuming his knee has fully healed, makes him a strong bet for the honor.