The 2026 Rugby League World Cup is being significantly shaped by the compelling performances of Tonga and Samoa, potentially offering a much-needed shake-up to the international game. Both nations have advanced deep into the tournament, with Tonga set to face New Zealand and Samoa preparing for a rematch against Australia in the semi-finals.
This success is seen as a vital development for international rugby league, which has faced criticism for blow-out scores and a convoluted tournament format. The emergence of Pacific island nations as genuine contenders challenges the historical dominance of traditional powerhouses like Australia and New Zealand.
A History of Thrilling Encounters
Tonga and Samoa have a history of producing close and dramatic matches. Tonga famously defeated New Zealand in a 2021 Pacific Championships match en route to their first elite tournament final. Last year, their encounter was overshadowed by a serious injury to Tongan player Eli Katoa. Samoa, meanwhile, were surprise runners-up in the 2022 tournament, defeating the hosts in a golden point semi-final before falling to Australia in the final.
Their recent group stage match, a tense 20-18 victory for Tonga, was described by Samoa head coach Ben Gardiner as an "absolute cracker" and a "sensational occasion" that highlights the excitement international rugby league can offer.
World-Class Talent and Coaching
The strength of these Pacific teams is bolstered by a significant number of players with National Rugby League (NRL) experience, including those who have featured in the State of Origin series. Tonga's half-back Isaiya Katoa suggested the level of play in their recent match was "five or 10 levels above NRL."
Coaching has also been a key factor. Kristian Woolf, who has led Tonga since 2014, and Ben Gardiner, Samoa's coach since 2023, have both brought professional standards from NRL coaching roles. Their leadership, coupled with an eligibility system that allows players with heritage ties to represent their ancestral nations, has been crucial to the teams' rise.
A Boost for the Sport
Government support, such as Australia's A$250m commitment over 10 years to the Pacific Rugby League Partnership, is also playing a role in developing the sport in the region. This investment, along with the exciting on-field performances, is crucial for the growth and survival of international rugby league, especially after a tournament reduced to 10 teams.
Former England international Ryan Hall has called for a more inclusive World Cup format, suggesting that a "festival of the sport" should showcase more nations. A World Cup final featuring Tonga and Samoa would undoubtedly captivate audiences and demonstrate the sport's expanding global appeal.