As Week 9 of the NFL season approaches, The New York Post has released its survivor pool picks, identifying the Jacksonville Jaguars as a primary selection against a struggling Baltimore Ravens team.
The Jaguars are set as 10.5-point favorites over the Ravens. The Ravens are facing significant quarterback uncertainty, with reports indicating they may start a player from the Packers' practice squad or Joe Fagnano, due to injuries. The Ravens' defense has also shown vulnerability, ranking 14th in DVOA, and recently allowed 35 points to the Bills.
Another recommended pick is the Dallas Cowboys, who are favored by 5.5 points against the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts have begun a team sell-off, trading long-time player Quenton Nelson and potentially Jonathan Taylor. This situation suggests a team looking to rebuild rather than compete, making the Cowboys a favorable choice.
The New York Post also provides a model-based ranking of teams for survivor pools. The Seahawks lead this list, followed by the 49ers and Jaguars. The model takes into account various factors to predict team performance and potential survivor pool viability throughout the season. Erich Richter, a contributor to The Post, highlights his success in sports betting, particularly in player prop markets, and his analytical approach to selecting picks.
Earlier in Week 8, both Jaguars and Commanders backers saw their selections rewarded. The betting market adjusted significantly after the Colts traded Nelson, with the spread widening considerably. Meanwhile, the Bengals secured an overtime win, and the Cowboys suffered a notable loss.