Everton, after a promising start to the season, faces Newcastle on Monday with both teams teetering near the Premier League relegation zone. A win for Everton would provide crucial breathing room, but the match is far from a guaranteed outcome, with Newcastle entering as slight favorites.
Newcastle, currently holding a 3-2-3 record, has navigated a turbulent period including the departure of manager Eddie Howe and the sales of key players like Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes. The club has since focused on acquiring young talent under new manager Matthias Jaissle. However, their performance metrics, according to Understat's expected points metric, suggest they are underperforming their underlying statistics and rank poorly in both creating and preventing scoring chances.
Everton, despite their recent three-game winless streak, demonstrated their capability by recently defeating Newcastle in Carabao Cup action. The team is noted for its defensive solidity, which could prove instrumental against a Newcastle side struggling to find consistent offensive form.
The betting odds favor Newcastle at +135, with Everton at +195 on the three-way moneyline. Despite Newcastle's favored status, the recent Carabao Cup result and Everton's defensive structure suggest an upset is possible. The prediction from New York Post betting analyst Michael Leboff favors Everton on the moneyline at +195.