Ben Shelton stands on the cusp of a historic U.S. Open victory, aiming to become the first American man to claim the title since Andy Roddick in 2003. Standing between him and the trophy is Alexander Zverev, the World No. 2.
Shelton, 23, showcased remarkable resilience in his semifinal match, overcoming a first-set deficit against compatriot Frances Tiafoe to advance. This victory continues a strong run of form for the young American, who faces a significant challenge against Zverev in Sunday's final. Zverev has been dominant throughout the tournament, not dropping a set since the second round and entering the final as a -150 favorite.
The dynamics of the final extend beyond on-court strategy. A key question revolves around Zverev's ability to manage the intense atmosphere of a home crowd eager to see an American champion. Zverev, who secured his first Grand Slam title at the French Open, has a history of struggling under pressure in the latter stages of major tournaments. The source suggests this final presents a different kind of challenge for the German.
Zverev's path to the final has been relatively smooth, with Shelton representing his first top-20 opponent of the tournament. In contrast, Shelton has navigated a more challenging draw, defeating top-ranked players including Carlos Alcaraz, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Denis Shapovalov, and Hubert Hurkacz. This rigorous path has equipped Shelton with experience against elite competition.
The match is expected to be played in front of a highly energetic crowd, which could significantly influence the outcome. Despite Zverev's strong record, the unique environment of the U.S. Open final, coupled with Shelton's impressive performances, suggests a compelling contest. The analysis points to Shelton having considerable value in Sunday's match, with a moneyline pick of +123.
Alexander Zverev of Germany celebrates winning a match against Karen Khachanov of Russia during the men’s singles semifinals of the U.S. Open tennis championships on Friday, Sept. 11, 2026, in New York.
Ben Shelton celebrates his semifinal win at the U.S. Open by sticking out his tongue and pointing to his ear.
