Thousands of civilians who sought refuge in the Sudanese city of el-Obeid are now under threat as paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) fighters advance, intensifying clashes in the critical North Kordofan region. The city, a significant refuge for those fleeing violence, remains heavily defended by the Sudanese military but has been subjected to ongoing strikes. "Families have run out of safe options to protect themselves," said Mohamed Refaat, IOM chief of mission in Sudan, noting that many displaced individuals are being forced to leave their homes and support networks for a second time.

The International Organization for Migration (IOM) reports a significant expansion of the main displacement camp in el-Obeid since March, with dozens of new arrivals daily. Satellite imagery confirms this growth, highlighting the city's role as a key refuge amid the escalating conflict between the RSF and the Sudanese army. This region is considered a strategic target for both factions, potentially opening access to contested territories.

International leaders and G7 foreign ministers have issued warnings indicating that the RSF may be preparing to attack el-Obeid. These concerns are amplified by fears of atrocities similar to those that occurred in el-Fasher, where thousands were reportedly killed after the paramilitary forces overran army troops defending the city in October 2023. Verified footage shows heavily armed RSF troops in armored trucks in Nyala, a nearby stronghold, with stated intentions to "liberate" el-Obeid.

El-Obeid's strategic location is further emphasized by its connectivity to major routes, including highways leading to Nyala and Khartoum, as depicted on maps of the region. The city's defenses include newly constructed berms on its outskirts, visible in satellite imagery.

The ongoing conflict, which began in 2023, has caused widespread displacement and humanitarian concerns across Sudan. The potential fall of el-Obeid to the RSF could have significant implications for the course of the civil war and the safety of the civilian population.