The Mexican national football team's successful run in the 2026 World Cup, co-hosted by the nation, has coincided with a significant decrease in the daily murder rate, providing a temporary sense of national joy amidst widespread social and economic problems.
Mexico became the first team to qualify for the knockout stages as the uncatchable leaders of Group A, prompting celebrations. The team's performance has brought joy to millions living in a society grappling with high levels of violence. Streets have seen nightly celebrations, with citizens gathering at public landmarks.
When the national team, known as 'El Tri,' plays World Cup ties, the daily murder rate reportedly falls to around 30 homicides per 24 hours, a stark contrast to the average of 70 per day seen earlier in the year. This reduction typically occurs when the team wins, while losses have historically corresponded with an increase in fatalities and domestic abuse. The current tournament's success has also seen a pause in public demonstrations against corruption, which had been ongoing prior to the event.
President Claudia Sheinbaum, who is facing significant public hostility and has not attended matches, is reportedly hoping the team's performance will continue deep into the tournament. Mexico's best performance in the World Cup was reaching the quarter-finals when they hosted the tournament in 1970 and 1986. To potentially reach that stage again, they may face England in the last-16.
Despite the temporary uplift, Mexico continues to confront severe challenges. Homicides in 2026 are projected to be lower than in 2022, yet matricides remain a distressing concern. The figures do not account for the estimated 134,000 men, women, and children who have disappeared over the last two years, with many presumed to be victims of powerful drug cartels. These cartels are allegedly involved in sex trafficking and organ harvesting, and some have gained influence by funding local projects like hospitals and schools.
President Sheinbaum's administration has faced criticism, including a lavish banquet held for FIFA officials and celebrities shortly after the World Cup's opening match, which occurred while many citizens live in poverty. The daily payment distributed to registered families amounts to approximately 200 pesos, or £10. Concerns have also been raised about the substantial cost of staging Mexico's portion of the World Cup amid economic hardship.
If England progresses to face Mexico on July 5, they will encounter a team playing not only for sporting pride but also for the well-being of their nation. 
