As the World Cup 2026 enters its Round of 16, betting predictions are focusing on several key matchups, including Argentina vs. Cape Verde, Australia vs. Egypt, and Colombia vs. Ghana. Analysts are identifying potential value in draws and specific goal totals.
In the Argentina vs. Cape Verde match, Argentina is heavily favored with a -650 moneyline. Despite Cape Verde's consistent draws in the group stage, their ability to match Argentina's offensive power, led by Lionel Messi who has already scored six goals, is seen as unlikely. Argentina is predicted to exceed 2.5 goals as a team total, with odds at -115. Messi is also a strong favorite to score at -225.
The matchup between Australia and Egypt is considered more evenly balanced. Australia finished the group stage with a 1-1-1 record, including a win against Denmark. Egypt also showed resilience, drawing with Belgium and beating New Zealand. Given the perceived parity, a draw at +190 is highlighted as a strong betting option. The possibility of both teams scoring is also noted, though the draw is favored for a higher payout.
Colombia faces Ghana in another Round of 16 fixture. Colombia, initially a -125 favorite, has seen its odds shorten to -210, suggesting increased confidence in their talent. Colombia's group stage included wins against Uzbekistan and Congo DR, along with a draw against Portugal. Ghana advanced despite a tougher group, securing a win against Panama and drawing with England, while allowing only two goals. Colombia has a similar defensive record. While a 2-1 scoreline is suggested, favoring the over on total goals, Ghana receiving 1.5 goals on the spread is also considered a viable bet. The draw is also presented as a value play for the full 90 minutes.
Former 1994 USA World Cup player John Harkes has also commented on tournament rules, advocating for a review of FIFA's red card regulations following player suspensions, although this is separate from the match predictions.