A significant portion of homes put up for sale in the United Kingdom since the beginning of the year are still on the market, with property website Zoopla reporting that three in five remain unsold. This trend is attributed to a notable decline in buyer activity, which has seen property enquiries drop by 15 percent compared to the previous year.
The slowdown is particularly acute in certain regions, with the West Midlands experiencing a 30 percent decrease in buyer enquiries and the North East seeing a 29 percent drop, according to Zoopla's data.
Rising Costs and Political Uncertainty
Higher mortgage rates are identified as a primary factor contributing to the shrinking pool of committed homebuyers. Zoopla data indicates that the mortgage rate increases observed in April have added approximately £125 to the monthly costs for the average first-time buyer, with costs rising to £232 for those in London.
Simon Gerrard, chairman of Martyn Gerrard estate agents, corroborated these findings, stating that the market is under considerable strain. He noted a pronounced slowdown, especially in London, where his agency recorded a 33 percent decrease in valuations in a single week, a significant decline for this time of year. Demand across London has softened by around 20 percent, influenced by international uncertainties, including events in the Middle East, and rising interest rates.
An upcoming change in prime minister, coupled with questions surrounding future tax and spending priorities in the Autumn Budget, is further contributing to market hesitancy. Many individuals are adopting a "wait-and-see" approach until the economic and political outlook becomes clearer.
Official figures from the Bank of England revealed a 15 percent drop in homebuyer mortgage approvals in May. While national sales are down by an average of 7 percent, regional variations are significant. Sales have fallen by 12 percent in Wales, 11 percent in the East Midlands, and 10 percent in the East of England and the South West.
Divergence in Property Types
A notable divergence is also apparent between the sales performance of houses and flats. While two and three-bedroom houses are selling at a pace comparable to last year, one and two-bedroom flats represent the weakest market segment, with over two-thirds listed this year remaining unsold. This segment typically appeals to first-time buyers, who are currently more exposed to higher buying costs and have consequently stepped back from the market. Landlords, historically buyers of flats, are also purchasing in smaller numbers due to stricter tax regulations and increased oversight.
Richard Donnell, executive director at Zoopla, observed that higher mortgage rates and political uncertainty have impacted sales and affordability. He noted, however, that the current market impact is less severe than after the 2022 mini-budget and that mortgage rates have begun to decline. Donnell emphasized the variability of local market conditions and advised that correctly priced homes are still selling, while overpriced ones remain on the market.
Jeremy Leaf, a north London estate agent, suggested that there is an oversupply of property across various price ranges, leading to longer sales times and difficulties in securing buyer commitment. While most agreed sales are proceeding, albeit more slowly, he anticipates this cautious market dynamic to persist, further influenced by domestic political uncertainty.
Despite the challenges, Zoopla reported that UK house prices are still rising annually by 1.4 percent. Belfast leads major cities with a 4.7 percent price increase, followed by Liverpool at 4.6 percent and Newcastle at 3.6 percent. Conversely, Bournemouth saw the largest price fall of 1.4 percent, with Cambridge down 1.3 percent and Oxford down 0.2 percent.
Certain property types continue to attract interest, such as unique, high-quality homes like mews houses and church conversions. However, overall success in the current market hinges on precise alignment with buyer expectations.