Forecasters are predicting a summer with an increased likelihood of heatwaves and above-average temperatures across the United Kingdom. The three-month summer outlook, issued on June 1, suggests a higher-than-normal chance of hotter weather during June, with "a few notable high temperature spikes" also possible throughout the season, according to MeteoGroup, which provides data for BBC Weather.
These seasonal forecasts have demonstrated accuracy in the past. This week, the Met Office issued a rare red extreme heat warning for southeast Wales and southern England, the second such warning since their inception in 2021. The extreme heat led to school closures and strained transportation networks.
The outlook for the remainder of summer, extending to the end of August, indicates an "increased chance of heatwaves and heat-related impacts." Forecasters also anticipate "above-average temperatures" for both July and August, with "significant bursts" of heat expected not only in the UK but also across Europe.
The Met Office noted that the probability of a hotter summer is now twice as likely compared to the 1991-2020 period, a trend consistent with a warming climate.
To cope with potential heatwaves, advice includes staying hydrated by drinking water and consuming foods with high water content. Wearing loose-fitting clothing made from breathable fabrics and a hat can also help. Limiting travel and strenuous exercise, seeking shade, and using fans, ice, or cool showers to reduce body temperature are also recommended.