Donald Trump has experienced a significant drop in support among Hispanic men, a key voting bloc that previously showed substantial backing for him, according to CNN's chief data analyst Harry Enten. This shift is described as a "bonkers" change with potential implications for the November midterm elections.
In the 2024 election, Trump won the Hispanic male demographic by a 10-point margin over then-Vice President Kamala Harris. However, current polling data from 2026 indicates that Trump's net approval rating with this group has fallen to -41 points. Enten noted that this decline is particularly pronounced concerning the economy.
During the fall of 2024, this demographic trusted Trump more than Harris on economic issues by an 11-point margin. The current average net approval rating for Trump among Hispanic men stands at -49 points.
Enten emphasized that this pivot away from the president could have a "massive impact" on the upcoming midterm contests. Republicans previously secured an 8-point advantage with Hispanic men in the 2024 elections. Currently, however, polls show Hispanic men favoring Democrats by a 20-point margin.
"If you’re a Republican running for reelection, a Republican running for Congress in these midterm elections, and you think you’re going to escape the wrath that President Trump has now amongst Hispanic men, you are sorely, sorely mistaken," Enten stated. "These are bonkers shifts. And Democrats have to really like these numbers."