President Donald Trump's influence within the Republican Party is facing a significant test as voters head to the polls Tuesday for runoff elections in South Carolina and Oklahoma. The outcomes of these races, particularly the South Carolina Senate nomination runoff, will provide insight into the continued potency of Trump's endorsements in GOP primaries.
In South Carolina, Sen. Darline Graham, who is seeking to retain the Senate seat previously held by her late brother, Lindsey Graham, is competing against Rep. Ralph Norman in the Republican primary runoff. Trump has actively campaigned for Graham, headlining a rally in Myrtle Beach and urging voters to support her, emphasizing his desire for a win in the state. Graham was appointed to fill her brother's term by South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster and also holds endorsements from Rep. Russell Fry and Sen. Tim Scott.
Norman, however, is challenging the effectiveness of Trump's endorsement in this specific race. He has secured the support of former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, who previously challenged Trump for the Republican presidential nomination. Norman also has the backing of former Rep. Mark Sanford, who has expressed concerns about the national debt.
The South Carolina race is seen by some Republican strategists as a referendum on Trump's influence, especially after a recent instance where Trump's endorsed candidate for governor lost a runoff election. Trump had endorsed Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette, who ultimately lost to South Carolina Attorney General Alan Wilson.
Meanwhile, in Oklahoma, former state Sen. Mike Mazzei, endorsed by Trump, is vying for the Republican gubernatorial nomination against state Attorney General Gentner Drummond. The winner will be the favored candidate in the Republican-dominated state's general election.
Trump has publicly asserted that his endorsements remain strong, pointing to his record in GOP primaries this cycle. However, reports indicate that at least five of his gubernatorial picks have fallen short in their respective nomination contests this year. Analysts suggest that while Trump's endorsement provides a boost, it may not always overcome other factors affecting a candidate's viability.
In addition to the runoff elections, a special election runoff in Georgia will determine who fills the House seat left vacant by the late Democratic Rep. David Scott. The outcome of this race could further narrow the already slim Republican majority in the House of Representatives.
Trump's campaign efforts for Graham in South Carolina highlight the high stakes for the former president, who is looking to demonstrate the continued strength of his endorsements ahead of further contests.