Scouts See Braves Upsetting Dodgers in NLDS, Citing Age and Bullpen Concerns
Two rival scouts predict an Atlanta upset over the favored Los Angeles Dodgers in the upcoming National League Division Series.
Two rival Major League Baseball scouts predict the Atlanta Braves will upset the Los Angeles Dodgers in their upcoming National League Division Series matchup, citing concerns about the Dodgers' aging roster, bullpen depth, and the health of Shohei Ohtani.
The Dodgers, coming off a 100-win regular season and aiming for a third consecutive World Series title, face an Atlanta team that the scouts believe has the elements to pull off the upset in the best-of-five series.
Father Time and a Grueling Schedule
One primary concern for the Dodgers, according to the scouts, is the mileage on their veteran-laden roster. While experience can be an advantage in the postseason, Scout 1 noted that the team appeared to be wearing down during the latter half of the regular season, particularly in July and August when their offensive production dipped.
"It’s tough to bet against those guys because of the track record," Scout 2 said. "But at some point, they’re just not going to be able to overcome the age." The Dodgers struggled with power, ranking 25th in home runs and 23rd in slugging percentage during that two-month stretch. While their September performance improved significantly, their schedule during that period included few games against top-tier pitching staffs. The Braves, who finished fifth in team ERA, held the Dodgers to 15 runs in six head-to-head games this season, winning five of them.
"The Braves play such great defense, they throw strikes and they’re just a really good team. That’s why I think they handled them pretty good this year," Scout 1 observed.
Braves' Lineup Depth and Bullpen Questions
Despite the Dodgers boasting a strong pitching staff, the Braves' lineup, though not consistently dominant, possesses a deceptive depth and the ability to produce key moments. Scouts pointed to All-Stars Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies, who had career-worst regular seasons by OPS+ but delivered crucial home runs in the wild-card series.
"They’ll be hoping they can chip away," Scout 2 added. "Not necessarily wear the starters down. But the deeper lineup could allow them to get [the Dodgers starters’] pitch counts up a little bit, get them out of the game, and get into the bullpen earlier."
Conversely, the Dodgers' bullpen is seen as their biggest weakness. Despite a late-season improvement and the resurgence of closer Edwin Díaz, along with the expected availability of Edgardo Henriquez and the return of Roki Sasaki, scouts remain unconvinced.
"That’s the biggest weakness they have," Scout 1 stated. "In close games, offensively you love the Dodgers because of [their experience], but I still am not convinced of that bullpen."
The Ohtani Uncertainty
A significant cloud over the Dodgers' postseason hopes is the health of Shohei Ohtani. After missing time in September with arm and knee issues, Ohtani’s performance upon his return has been inconsistent. While the team insists he has improved, scouts expressed skepticism about his current impact.
"He looked different when he was bad this year. It looked like he wasn’t 100%," Scout 1 said. "And I don’t think it’s 100% [now], whether it’s the knee or the arm or whatever."
Pitching Advantage for Dodgers
One area where the Dodgers hold a clear advantage is pitching rest. While they enjoyed a bye week, the Braves were forced to use their top arms, including ace Chris Sale, extensively in their wild-card series. Sale's increased workload puts his availability for critical games in the NLDS in doubt, potentially impacting his ability to start a decisive Game 5.
Despite these factors, both scouts ultimately picked the Braves to win the series in five games. "Do I have to pick a winner? Atlanta in five. I like Atlanta," Scout 1 concluded.