NFL Week 3 Player Prop Bets: Key Picks for Quinshon Judkins and De'Von Achane

As the NFL season progresses into Week 3, predictions and player prop bets are coming into focus. After a "solid-ish" performance in Week 2, where a bet on Bryce Young throwing three touchdown passes at +515 was successful, the focus shifts to identifying value in the upcoming matchups.

Quinshon Judkins Prop Bet

Quinshon Judkins is highlighted for a potential breakout performance in Week 3, particularly against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are currently hampered by injuries to key defensive players, including middle linebacker Devin Lloyd and weakside starter Claudin Cherelus. This defensive fragility is significant, as Carolina ranks 29th in rush defense DVOA. While Judkins has not yet met the projected yardage totals this season, a broader look at his past performance shows he surpassed 80 rushing yards in five games and exceeded 59 yards in eight of his 13 starts last season. The projection suggests Judkins could perform well, especially if the Cleveland Browns maintain a competitive game at home.

De'Von Achane Prop Bet

De'Von Achane is another player identified for a strong Week 3 outing, with an emphasis on his receiving potential. Through the first two games, Achane has been utilized in a manner that suggests his role could expand. He is noted as the only running back in the league playing over 80 percent of offensive snaps who also possesses a strong history as a pass-catching back. Although he has only exceeded 3.5 receptions once this season, he has achieved at least six receptions in six of his 16 games played. The potential for increased targets and involvement in the passing game makes his prop bets attractive.

Oronde Gadsden II Anytime Touchdown Scorer

In a long-shot proposition, Oronde Gadsden II is suggested as an anytime touchdown scorer. This pick is influenced by injuries to other tight ends on his team, positioning Gadsden as the primary option at the position. Reports indicate he had a productive week of practice, and coach Jim Harbaugh appears ready to increase his role. The Buffalo Bills have been susceptible to tight end yardage, allowing the ninth-most yards to the position this season, and were a similar trend last year. This could create an opportunity for Gadsden to find the end zone.

Betting Analysis

The analysis comes from Erich Richter, who has a documented history of success in the player prop market, achieving a 30.15 percent return on investment since 2022, even while frequently betting on long shots.