The Irish Prison Service (IPS) considered employing hostage-negotiation training and utilizing courthouse holding cells as measures to address severe overcrowding and the potential for serious riots among inmates. These contingency plans were developed as the prison population significantly outstripped available capacity, with hundreds of prisoners sleeping on floors.

Newly obtained documents reveal that "operational tensions" were so "severe" that the IPS felt it necessary to prepare for further escalation. This included contacting the Courts Service to explore the possibility of using its holding cells in emergency situations. At one point, the prison system held 5,767 individuals in a capacity designed for 4,718, with 611 prisoners sleeping on mattresses on the floor. As of a recent weekend, the figures were 5,741 people in a capacity of 4,802.

Attempts to Cap Prison Population

Minutes from an IPS response group meeting in January also detail efforts to secure a fixed cap on prisoner numbers from the Department of Justice. However, this proposal was not approved by Minister Jim O’Callaghan. In response to the lack of an agreed-upon cap, the IPS stated it would impose its own limit once all usable floor space was exhausted, regardless of departmental agreement.

Concerns were also raised about the increasing number of individuals held on remand, with limited data available on objections to bail. A specific issue highlighted was the "holding cell phenomenon," where individuals were held on remand for months, only to be released later without a custodial sentence. The documents noted a significant rise in those detained pre-trial for offenses including attempts or threats to murder, assaults, and harassment, increasing from 84 cases in 2010 to 402 in 2025.

Contributing Factors and Proposed Solutions

A separate discussion paper examined potential factors contributing to the rapid growth of the prison population, questioning whether increased policing, higher detection rates, and a greater volume of court cases were significant contributors. It also raised questions about shifts in conviction rates and the types of offenses occurring that carry custodial sentences.

To alleviate pressure, the IPS sought discussions with the Probation Service and judges regarding the imposition of short prison stays, aiming to encourage the use of community service orders for sentences of 12 months or less. The Courts Service indicated it lacked the capacity to collect comprehensive data on court sittings but suggested historical data might offer insights into future trends.

Official Response and Concerns

An IPS spokesman stated that the service is legally required to accept all individuals committed to prison by the courts. When custody numbers exceed maximum capacity, the IPS makes efforts to manage the situation safely, including the use of Temporary Release where appropriate, with public safety being paramount. The spokesman also noted that significant work had been done to increase prison capacity, with 446 additional spaces brought online since 2022.

However, a minister told the Daily Mail that the situation represents a "crisis sitting there like a powder keg ready to go off," describing the system as "dysfunctional beyond belief." This minister suggested that the Minister for Justice is reluctant to release individuals on bail or for petty crimes, seeking to maintain a reputation for being tough on crime.

Peadar Tóibín, leader of Aontú, criticized the chronic overcrowding for leading to early releases, which he argued endangers public safety and undermines the justice system. He pointed to figures showing nearly 600 inmates sleeping on mattresses and jails being over capacity by 1,100 prisoners. Tóibín also cited the unused Thornton Hall prison, purchased years ago to address overcrowding, as an example of failed long-term planning and poor delivery on infrastructure.