Human Bettor Outperforms ChatGPT in NFL Picks
A sports betting competition between a human analyst and an AI shows the human taking a lead after Week 7, with both participants sharing their Week 8 selections.
A weekly NFL betting competition between a human analyst and ChatGPT saw the human secure a winning record in Week 7, reclaiming the lead in their head-to-head matchup.
The human analyst finished Week 7 with a 4-1 record, earning 3.11 units, while ChatGPT went 2-3 and lost 1.33 units. This performance brought the human's overall record to 19-15-1 with a profit of 3.20 units for the season, whereas ChatGPT's season record stands at 15-19-1, with a loss of 5.36 units.
For Week 8, the human analyst has selected five bets: Dallas Cowboys -6½, Baltimore Ravens +3½, Indianapolis Colts-Jacksonville Jaguars Under 46½, Los Angeles Chargers +7, and Kansas City Chiefs-Denver Broncos Under 41.
The AI's selections for Week 8 include: Baltimore Ravens-Buffalo Bills Over 54½, Cleveland Browns +3½, Indianapolis Colts-Jacksonville Jaguars Under 46½, Minnesota Vikings +3, and Los Angeles Chargers-Los Angeles Rams Under 45½.
In their Week 7 picks, the human analyst's successful wagers included the Cincinnati Bengals -2½, the San Francisco 49ers-Atlanta Falcons Under 49½, the New York Giants-Houston Texans Over 42½, and the Green Bay Packers +3½. The only loss came from a moneyline bet on the Tennessee Titans.
ChatGPT's wins in Week 7 came on the Pittsburgh Steelers -3 and the Cincinnati Bengals -2½. Its losses included the Minnesota Vikings -6½, the Denver Broncos-Arizona Cardinals Under 43½, and the Kansas City Chiefs +3.
Both the human analyst and ChatGPT identified the Indianapolis Colts-Jacksonville Jaguars Under 46½ as a shared pick for Week 8. The human analyst expressed concern over the Colts' offensive struggles and potential trades, while the AI noted the Jaguars' strong run defense and expected wind conditions.
The competition adheres to specific betting parameters, with all selections made from the same odds board and a maximum price of -120. Odds are captured weekly, and stakes are adjusted to ensure a one-unit profit for each winning bet. A push results in the stake being returned and counts as zero units.