Human Analyst Maintains Lead Over AI in NFL Betting Through Week 3

A human NFL analyst has extended their lead over a ChatGPT-powered AI in their weekly betting predictions heading into Week 4. The human analyst boasts a 9-6 record for the season, with a profit of +2.82 units, while the AI, GPT, holds a 5-10 record and is down 5.61 units.

In Week 3, the human analyst went 4-1, adding 3.06 units, marking their best performance of the season. GPT achieved its first winning week, going 3-2 and profiting 0.89 units. The human analyst has consistently outperformed GPT in terms of units won each week.

A notable point of contention between the two bettors was the Week 3 game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals. The human bet on the Steelers to cover the spread with points, while GPT selected the Bengals to cover by laying points. The Steelers won the game outright, resulting in a win for the human bettor.

Both bettors adhere to the same rules: they each make five best bets using the same odds, and no selection can be priced worse than -120. Each wager is sized to win one unit. Odds are captured on Saturday afternoons for the upcoming games.

Week 3 Betting Results

Human Analyst:

• New York Giants -2½ (-110): Won (+1 unit)
• Pittsburgh Steelers +3½ (-112): Won (+1 unit)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers Moneyline (+106): Lost (-0.94 units)
• Las Vegas Raiders-New Orleans Saints Over 44 (-105): Won (+1 unit)
• Philadelphia Eagles-Chicago Bears Under 42½ (-110): Won (+1 unit) Total: 4-1, +3.06 units

GPT:

• Buffalo Bills -7 (-112): Won (+1 unit)
• Jacksonville Jaguars -3 (+100): Won (+1 unit)
• Cincinnati Bengals -3½ (-104): Lost (-1.04 units)
• Las Vegas Raiders +3 (+102): Won (+1 unit)
• Los Angeles Rams-Denver Broncos Under 44 (-107): Lost (-1.07 units) Total: 3-2, +0.89 units

Week 4 Picks

The human analyst's Week 4 card includes:

1. Cincinnati Bengals -2½ (-115)
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (+100)
3. New England Patriots +7 (-115)
4. Miami Dolphins +10 (-107)
5. New Orleans Saints -1½ (-115)

GPT's Week 4 picks are:

1. Arizona Cardinals -2½ (-110)
2. Jacksonville Jaguars Moneyline (+125)
3. Miami Dolphins-Minnesota Vikings Under 38½ (-107)
4. Detroit Lions -3½ (-110)
5. Atlanta Falcons Moneyline (+115)

There are two direct disagreements between the human analyst and GPT for Week 4: the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars game and the Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints game. The human analyst favors the Bengals and the Saints, respectively, while GPT is picking the Jaguars moneyline and the Falcons moneyline.