Fifa President Gianni Infantino faces an uncertain path toward a potential fourth term, with emerging divisions within global football confederations and the possibility of a challenger in the upcoming March election. While Infantino has not indicated any intention to step down, his re-election is no longer considered a certainty.
A critical juncture could arrive in the autumn if Fifa Council members attempt to force Infantino's resignation at an emergency meeting. Such a meeting can be convened if 19 of the 37 council members call for it, and it must take place within two weeks of the request. However, given the current composition of the council, which includes nine members from UEFA, seven from AFC, six from CAF, five from CONCACAF, five from CONMEBOL, and three from Oceania, along with Infantino and Fifa Secretary General Mattias Grafstrom, this avenue is considered unlikely.
The more plausible scenario involves a candidate challenging Infantino in the March election. The deadline for candidates to declare their intentions is in November. Historically, other confederations have expressed frustration with European dominance in football. Victor Montagliani, the president of CONCACAF, has been frequently mentioned as a potential challenger.
The landscape of support for Infantino could shift significantly depending on who ultimately stands against him. For example, if AFC President Sheikh Salman were to enter the race, he might sway some Asian associations currently aligned with Infantino. As of now, the global support remains unclear due to internal divisions within confederations and the absence of a declared candidate to oppose Infantino.