Dodgers' NLDS Game 1 Against Braves Threatened by Extreme Heat
A significant heat wave expected in California could impact pitching and player performance during the pivotal series opener.
The Los Angeles Dodgers' National League Division Series opener against the Atlanta Braves on Saturday is expected to be played under intense heat, with temperatures projected to reach 100 degrees Fahrenheit. This extreme weather could pose significant challenges, particularly for the Dodgers' pitching staff and bullpen.
When Tarik Skubal takes the mound for Game 1, scheduled for 1 p.m., the high temperatures could affect his performance and endurance. Studies indicate that extreme heat can lead to increased slugging percentages, walks, and home runs for hitters, while potentially impacting pitchers' grip, control, and overall health due to increased heart rate, sweating, and fluid loss. These factors could contribute to dehydration and diminished effectiveness.
Skubal, known for his powerful fastball, may find himself tiring earlier if he relies heavily on that pitch, which he threw 38% of the time last season, reaching speeds up to 100 mph. The challenging conditions combined with facing a strong Braves lineup, which finished the regular season fifth in the National League for slugging percentage and tied for fourth in home runs, presents a formidable obstacle for the Dodgers.
The Braves' offensive strength is highlighted by Matt Olson's .502 slugging percentage and 41 home runs, followed by Michael Harris and Drake Baldwin. This potent offense could capitalize on any fatigue or loss of control experienced by Dodgers pitchers due to the heat.
While Game 2, set for Sunday at 5 p.m., is expected to have less extreme temperatures, the impact of Saturday's heat could carry over. The Dodgers' bullpen, often considered their weakest link this season with a 3.74 team ERA, a 9.9 walk percentage, and an HR/9 of 0.96 according to FanGraphs, could be particularly tested if Skubal is unable to pitch deep into the game. Atlanta's pitchers, having recently navigated a three-game wild-card series against the Phillies, may also be taxed, potentially creating a more even playing field if they can force the Dodgers to rely heavily on their bullpen.
The heat wave is forecast to persist through the week, with temperatures predicted to remain in the high 90s.