New York gubernatorial candidates are increasingly distancing themselves from Governor Kathy Hochul, signaling a potential electoral liability for the Democratic party. Recent actions by candidates in competitive districts suggest a strategy to avoid association with the state's current leadership.
Blake Gendebien, the Democratic nominee for New York's 21st congressional district, declined to endorse Hochul or her Republican challenger, Bruce Blakeman, in the gubernatorial race. During a radio interview, Gendebien stated his support would be for "anyone that will help the North Country be absolutely successful." Earlier, at a September town hall, Gendebien noted Hochul's "underwater" favorability ratings, attributing them to unspecified reasons.
Cait Conley, the Democratic opponent of Rep. Mike Lawler in the 17th district, took a more direct approach. At a forum, Conley publicly agreed with Lawler's assessment that "We need a new governor, Kathy Hochul has got to go." Her remarks, which she later attempted to walk back, were met with applause from the audience, with some attendees reportedly chanting "Blakeman!"
Critics point to several of Hochul's policy decisions and economic indicators as reasons for her declining popularity. New York's population change percentage for fiscal year 2025 was reported as the lowest in the nation at -0.8%, resulting in a loss of $9.89 billion in adjusted gross income. The state's energy costs remain high, and economic growth has been slow, factors attributed in part to the continuation of a fracking ban, a policy inherited from her predecessor.
Further policy decisions cited include a moratorium on new large-scale data centers and an increase in the state's minimum wage to $16 or $17 per hour, depending on location. Critics argue these measures negatively impact small businesses and economic investment. Additionally, Hochul has been criticized for her stance on social issues, including policies related to women's sports, the treatment of undocumented immigrants, abortion access, and transgender rights.
Polling data reflects concerns about Hochul's standing. A recent Marist poll indicated a net favorability rating of -4 for the governor, with 43% favorable and 47% unfavorable. Another survey placed her net approval rating at -10, with 43% approval and 53% disapproval. While these numbers suggest Hochul may still hold an edge in the gubernatorial race in a predominantly blue state, her perceived weaknesses are reportedly causing unease among other Democratic candidates facing tougher electoral challenges.
