The No. 10 Texas Longhorns face a crucial SEC matchup on the road against the No. 18 Missouri Tigers. Texas, with a 6-2 overall record and 3-2 in conference play, is currently on the College Football Playoff bubble. However, a loss against Missouri could significantly hinder their playoff aspirations.

The Longhorns have experienced an up-and-down 2026 season, marked by wins over Ohio State and Ole Miss, but also inconsistent offensive performances. Despite victories against UTSA and Mississippi State, where the defense allowed minimal points, the offense has struggled, averaging 4.8 and 5.3 yards per play respectively in those games. Texas ranks 84th nationally in yards per play at 5.2 and 34th in yards per pass at 7.9.

Missouri, also 6-2 overall and 3-2 in the SEC, boasts a stronger offensive unit statistically this season. The Tigers have achieved their results against a challenging schedule, and with Texas's offense failing to consistently meet expectations, particularly with quarterback Arch Manning under center, Missouri presents a tough challenge in a hostile environment. Texas is currently a 2.5-point favorite in the matchup.

Given Texas's offensive struggles and Missouri's competitive standing, betting on the Missouri moneyline at +120 is recommended by analysts.