The PGA TOUR season's final major has concluded, but the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota, offers another opportunity for golfers and bettors. The course, designed by Arnold Palmer, is known as a "Midwest birdie-fest" where low scores are essential. Water hazards on 15 holes demand driving accuracy and precise iron play, as errant tee shots can quickly end a player's chances.
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is making his first appearance at the 3M Open, a decision that could be motivated by a desire to break a winless streak since the season's opening event, The American Express, or a lucrative offer from the tournament's sponsor. Despite his ranking, Scheffler has not secured a victory this season.
Betting Favorites and Value Picks
While Scheffler is the headliner, betting analysis indicates potential value in other competitors. Hideki Matsuyama is identified as the second-best player in the field, with odds suggesting his capabilities are undervalued. Despite recent inconsistency with his driver, Matsuyama has shown improvement in driving accuracy in his last three starts, including major championships like the U.S. Open and The Open Championship. While his past performance at TPC Twin Cities is mixed, his experience on the course and recent putting improvements make him a contender.
Longshots are also drawing attention. Ben Kohles, despite being winless, ranks highly in driving accuracy and Strokes Gained: Approach, crucial metrics for TPC Twin Cities. His performance in the final round of the 2026 John Deere Classic, where he faltered, is viewed by some as a sign he can reach contention.
Rasmus Neergaard-Peterson, known for his driving prowess, has consistently gained strokes off the tee in recent tournaments, including majors. His recent streak of making cuts and strong performances in other high-profile events, coupled with solid putting statistics, positions him as a player to watch. The trend of long-hitting golfers winning at the 3M Open when putting well aligns with Neergaard-Peterson's game.
Casey Jarvis, a 22-year-old South African not yet a full-time PGA TOUR professional, is generating buzz due to significant discrepancies in his odds across different sportsbooks. His strong stroke average on the DP World Tour, which includes top-ranked players, and recent high finishes in co-sanctioned events like the Genesis Scottish Open and The Open Championship, suggest he may be an under-the-radar talent.
Emiliano Grillo has a notable track record at TPC Twin Cities, consistently performing well in past 3M Opens, including a second-place finish in 2022. His strong driving accuracy this season and recent improvements in putting at challenging courses like Shinnecock for the U.S. Open indicate he is well-suited for this tournament. Grillo's comfort and success at TPC Twin Cities make him a strong candidate for a high finish.
Despite a challenging season in golf betting, the analysis points to these golfers as having the potential to outperform their odds at the 3M Open, with a particular emphasis on driving accuracy and performance on TPC Twin Cities' greens.