Rams Favored in Week 6 NFL Survivor Pool Amidst High Elimination Rate
Following a Week 5 upset that eliminated nearly half of Circa Survivor entrants, Week 6 presents the Los Angeles Rams as heavy favorites against the Arizona Cardinals.
Week 5 of the NFL season proved challenging for survivor pool participants, with the Dallas Cowboys' unexpected home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers eliminating 42.8% of the field in the Circa Survivor tournament. Another 9.6% faced a scare with the Jacksonville Jaguars nearly losing on a last-second field goal.
As Week 6 approaches, two matchups feature favorites of more than two touchdowns, drawing significant attention from players seeking to advance. The Los Angeles Rams, currently 2-3, are heavily favored at -13.5 against the Arizona Cardinals. This division matchup is crucial for the Rams to maintain pace in the NFC West. The Cardinals are coming off a significant loss to the Detroit Lions and are considered a contender for the first overall pick in the upcoming NFL Draft.
More than 50% of survivor pool entrants are expected to select the Rams in Week 6.
Contrarian Plays and Analytics
A more contrarian pick involves the New York Giants, who are slight home underdogs (+1.5) against the New Orleans Saints. This play is considered risky but offers a unique opportunity to select a team that may not be viable later in the season due to a difficult remaining schedule. The Giants have shown flashes of good play at home.
The Indianapolis Colts (-7) are also highlighted as a target against the Tennessee Titans. Despite reservations about the Colts' overall performance, the Titans rank poorly in DVOA, sitting at No. 31 in the league. The Colts are rated No. 21 in DVOA. While neither quarterback Daniel Jones nor running back Jonathan Taylor have been consistently dominant, this matchup presents an alternative for players looking to fade popular picks like the Rams.
The week's survivor pool rankings indicate the Rams as the top option with a score of 82.7, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers. The Giants are ranked 13th for this week's matchup.
Erich Richter, who has demonstrated success in player prop betting, contributes analysis to The Post, offering insights on NFL betting strategies.