The Philadelphia Phillies, who have cooled off after a strong run, are set to face the Miami Marlins. Philadelphia has struggled since the All-Star Break, posting a 3-7 record in the second half of the season. Their overall team ERA stands at 4.25, though Zach Wheeler and Christopher Sanchez maintain sub-three ERAs.
Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola has faced a difficult season. He holds a 5.82 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP on the year. While Nola has shown improvement on the road compared to his home ERA, he still has a 5.06 ERA away from Philadelphia. He has a history of success against the Marlins, with his best outing of the season against them resulting in six scoreless innings. However, Marlins hitters have a collective .300 batting average against him in 40 at-bats.
The Miami Marlins are also looking to rebound after a slump. Since the All-Star Break, the team is 1-9, though they snapped a losing streak with a win yesterday. This recent stretch might influence their position at the trade deadline, potentially making Sandy Alcantara available. Alcantara's season has been mixed, with a 10-6 record and a 4.01 ERA. He has a stronger 3.26 ERA at home, having allowed only 24 earned runs in Miami, with 13 of those coming in just two starts. He allowed two earned runs in six innings when he last faced the Phillies this season.
Despite both teams struggling, the Marlins are favored at home. Nola's season ERA is a point of concern, while Alcantara's home performance offers a measure of confidence for Miami. The Marlins won their most recent game to end a streak of series sweeps. For those interested in betting, Alcantara is also projected to record over 17.5 outs.