The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected to edge out their NFC South rivals for the division title in 2026, according to a season preview. The Buccaneers, led by coach Todd Bowles, are predicted to finish with a 9-8 record, just ahead of the Carolina Panthers, who are also projected for a 9-8 finish but would lose a tiebreaker.
The Buccaneers' outlook hinges on quarterback Baker Mayfield providing stability and leadership, especially without key offensive departures like wide receiver Mike Evans. Defensively, the team anticipates a strong pass rush bolstered by additions like rookie linebacker Rueben Bain Jr. and returning edge rusher Yaya Diaby. However, replacing Evans' production and addressing potential weaknesses in the interior defense without veteran linebacker Lavonte David are seen as significant challenges. Key departures also include running back Rachaad White and cornerback Jamel Dean.
Panthers Seek Consistency
The Carolina Panthers, under coach Dave Canales, are also forecasted at 9-8 after a promising 2025 season that saw them win their first division title in a decade and make a playoff appearance. Quarterback Bryce Young is coming off his best season, and the additions of edge rusher Jaelan Phillips and linebacker Devin Lloyd are expected to strengthen the defense. However, the Panthers face significant offensive line concerns with both starting tackles, Ikem Ekwonu and Taylor Moton, expected to miss time due to injuries. Running back Rico Dowdle and wide receiver Hunter Renfrow are among the key departures.
Falcons Face New Leadership
The Atlanta Falcons, with a projected 8-9 record and coached by Kevin Stefanski, are entering the 2026 season with significant changes at quarterback and head coach. Tua Tagovailoa is expected to start under center, replacing Kirk Cousins. Running back Bijan Robinson remains a key offensive threat, having led the NFL in yards from scrimmage in 2025. The Falcons' defense recorded a franchise-record 57 sacks in 2025, but questions linger about the offensive line following the unexpected retirement of right tackle Kaleb McGary. Wide receiver Darnell Mooney and edge rusher Leonard Floyd are among the notable departures.
Saints Overhaul Continues
The New Orleans Saints are predicted to finish last in the division with a 7-10 record. Head coach Kellen Moore will look to quarterback Tyler Shough to build on a strong rookie campaign. The addition of first-round pick wide receiver Jordyn Tyson could provide a boost, but his expected absence for the first two months due to a hamstring injury is a setback. The Saints also face defensive challenges, lacking difference-makers outside of edge rusher Chase Young and needing to replace the veteran leadership of linebacker Demario Davis. Key departures include tight ends Taysom Hill and Foster Moreau, along with several defensive linemen and cornerback Alontae Taylor.
The NFC South is collectively predicted to be the weakest division in the NFL for the 2026 season, with all four teams facing unique challenges and opportunities as they vie for a playoff spot.