The Buffalo Bills enter the upcoming NFL season with the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl, despite not having secured an AFC championship since 1994. Quarterback Josh Allen has faced scrutiny for the team's recent playoff shortcomings, but his significant contributions have been undeniable.
This season marks Allen's first without former head coach Sean McDermott. However, with Joe Brady transitioning from offensive coordinator to head coach, offensive continuity is expected to remain strong. Some forecasts suggest the Bills' offense could see further improvement.
During the offseason, the Bills addressed a critical need by acquiring D.J. Moore, a proven No. 1 wide receiver, to bolster a receiving corps that required an upgrade. Last season, Allen distributed targets widely, with no single receiver exceeding five touchdowns. Tight end Dalton Kincaid led the team with five, while Khalil Shakir, Dawson Knox, and Keon Coleman each had four.
Moore joins the Bills after a season with the Chicago Bears that was considered the least productive of his career, despite initial high expectations. Even in that down year, Moore's six receiving touchdowns would have been the highest total among the Bills' pass-catchers in the previous season.
Sports betting markets appear reserved about Allen's aerial scoring potential for the upcoming season. His passing touchdown prop bet is set at 24.5, a figure close to his 25 touchdowns from last season. This line suggests that Moore's arrival may have a limited impact on the team's ability to score via the pass.
However, considering Moore's past performance and his prior connection with offensive coordinator Joe Brady during their time together in Carolina, there is an expectation that Allen's passing game could see an increase in production. One prediction favors taking the over on Allen's passing touchdown prop bet of 24.5.