The Jacksonville Jaguars hold a 5-2 record at the NFL's halfway mark and are projected as 10-point favorites against the Baltimore Ravens, who are 4-4 on the season. A significant factor in this matchup is the looming injury concern for Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson.
Jackson suffered an injury on the first offensive snap last week, and his potential absence, coupled with the loss of the backup quarterback shortly thereafter, leaves the Ravens facing further challenges. This season, Jackson has been a dynamic playmaker but has also dealt with frequent injuries. Derrick Henry, a key player for the Ravens, has performed well but faces a Jaguars defense that is strong against the run. With a backup quarterback likely under center, Baltimore may be forced to rely more on passing, a unit where they rank in the bottom half of the league.
The Jaguars, under Trevor Lawrence, have achieved a 5-2 record with wins over teams like the Browns, Bengals, Eagles, and Colts. Lawrence has thrown for 17 touchdowns and four interceptions, accumulating nearly 1,700 passing yards this season. Despite strong offensive statistics, Jacksonville ranks 29th in the league in passing yards allowed, though their run defense has been a highlight. The team is allowing an average of 15.9 points per game, a number influenced by their victories over the Browns and Colts.
Baltimore's defense is allowing 25.4 points per game. Last week, with Joe Fagnano at quarterback, the Ravens managed only 91 passing yards and threw an interception. The team's only touchdown came from Henry after an interception in the red zone. The analysis suggests it will be difficult for Fagnano to significantly improve in a short week to challenge the Jaguars' 10-point spread.
The Jaguars' only losses this season came against the Texans and the Broncos. The loss to the Texans occurred during their second consecutive week playing in London. Jacksonville has a 1-1 record on the road this season, with many road games remaining on their schedule.