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The Express Gazette
Monday, October 12, 2026

UK Fuel Prices Stabilize as Oil Costs Recede Post-Middle East Conflict

Petrol and diesel prices are falling, though still higher than before the recent conflict, as wholesale markets adjust to renewed stability.

Business & Markets • 4 months ago
UK Fuel Prices Stabilize as Oil Costs Recede Post-Middle East Conflict

UK drivers are experiencing a steady decrease in petrol and diesel prices, a trend attributed to the receding cost of oil and wholesale fuel following a period of geopolitical tension. The RAC reports that filling a 55-litre family car with petrol now costs £83.59, and diesel costs £92.75. These figures remain approximately £10.50 and £14.40 higher, respectively, than they were in late February before the recent conflict began.

Simon Williams, the RAC's head of policy, noted that fuel prices are reacting to the drop in oil and wholesale fuel costs. However, he stated that the reduction at the pump should be more rapid and significant, particularly for diesel. Williams anticipates that average prices for unleaded petrol should fall below 150p per litre and diesel below 160p within the next week.

Despite the recent conflict, current fuel prices remain below the peaks observed in the summer of 2022, which followed Russia's invasion of Ukraine. At that time, petrol reached 191.5p per litre and diesel hit 199p per litre.

The lag between wholesale market price changes and their reflection at the pump is typically around two weeks, due to the time required for oil transportation. Fuel retailers have refuted claims of price gouging during the recent conflict, with the official markets regulator stating it has found no evidence of retailers altering pricing strategies to exploit the situation.

To assist consumers, the government has implemented a 'Fuel Finder' scheme, allowing drivers to compare fuel costs at different petrol stations across the UK. Luke Bosdet, head of policy at the AA, expressed surprise at the speed of price reductions, which he believes is partly due to the effectiveness of this scheme. In response to the conflict's impact, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer announced on May 20th the postponement of a planned 5p fuel duty increase, originally scheduled for September, pushing it back to December 31st.


Sources