Investor Details Quick Profit From SpaceX IPO Amidst Market Frenzy
An investor recounts a calculated gamble on SpaceX's initial public offering, highlighting the distinction between speculation and long-term investment.
A financial journalist has detailed a personal experience of purchasing and quickly selling shares in SpaceX's recent initial public offering (IPO), emphasizing the difference between speculative trading and sound investing.
SpaceX announced its intention for an IPO in late May, a process where a private company becomes publicly traded. The company's filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission included a prospectus highlighting an addressable market of $28.5 trillion. The filing also provided details on SpaceX's existing rocket launch, satellite, and artificial intelligence businesses, alongside ambitious future plans for space tourism, lunar and Martian transport, orbital data centers, and asteroid mining.
The expected valuation for the IPO was $1.77 trillion, with plans to raise $75 billion, which would have made it the largest stock market floatation in history. Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX, made a significant portion of shares, up to 30 percent, available to ordinary investors, deviating from the typical IPO practice of prioritizing institutional investors.
This move opened opportunities for retail investors, including those in the UK, to participate. The author of the account, Simon Lambert, described being drawn to the potential for a quick profit, noting the intense interest from both institutional and retail investors. He saw this as a departure from traditional investing, influenced by the era of meme stocks and cryptocurrency speculation.
Lambert devised a plan to apply for approximately £1,500 worth of SpaceX shares, aiming for a £500 profit. He acquired 14 SpaceX shares at the IPO price of $135, which amounted to £1,413. The shares opened for trading, and Lambert closely monitored their performance. By the end of the first trading day, SpaceX shares closed up 19 percent at $161.
Over the following days, Lambert sold portions of his shares, surpassing his initial profit target. He sold three shares at $173, netting £383, and another share at $184, earning an additional £132, bringing his total profit to £515. He continued to monitor the stock's surge, which at one point reached nearly $220.
Ultimately, Lambert sold his remaining ten SpaceX shares at $208, bringing his total sale proceeds to £2,050. This represented an overall gain of 45 percent on his initial £1,413 investment. He acknowledged that while SpaceX shares might continue to rise, potentially due to index fund inclusion and buying pressure on dips, he did not wish to be a long-term investor in the company.
Lambert cited concerns that the $1.77 trillion IPO valuation was based on significant "hope value." He noted that while the rocket launch and satellite business (Starlink) is dominant and profitable, the company also incurs losses, and the xAI division, which includes the Grok chatbot, is a substantial expense. He also anticipates that early investors will begin selling shares in the coming months.
Reflecting on the experience, Lambert stressed the importance of keeping investment and speculation separate. He concluded that his brief involvement with SpaceX shares was a gamble that yielded a lucky profit, intended to fund a short weekend trip, rather than a strategic investment decision.